As I look back and wonder what made me fall in love with Cincinnati Reds close to 20 years ago, one thing always comes to mind; They have always been the underdog, the little guy. And of course as far as big market / small market teams, the Reds are and have always been in that small market group but they have always had the potential of making a big market team lose a lot of sleep at night. With the addition of Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Ryan Madson fans are ready for a World Series win and the fans are not the only ones excited about their chances in 2012. Players and the front office are starting to see what it is like when you give fans something to look forward to. Sure, Walt had to really work hard to get these missing pieces in order to give the fans more hope for 2012 but I think he did a great job with what he had.
Now it is up to the players and the coaching staff to step up and show us what they got. They need Scott Rolen to be healthy. They need Bronson Arroyo to be a leader in the starting rotation and show the younger guys how to pitch deep into innings and get 200+ a season. The Reds need Nick Masset, Sean Marshall and Ryan Madson to step up and become the new generation’s Nasty Boys. (The Ma-sty Boys) And most of all, the Reds need promising players like Drew Stubbs, Homer Bailey and Aroldis Chapman to show us they are ready to become great! To be honest, adding guys like Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Ryan Madson will boost Bailey and Chapman and show them what it takes to become the best in baseball.
Sure, the Reds are still not the favorite to win the National League Central. Tell, me something I don’t know. When have they ever been the favorite in everyone’s eyes? That is what I like about them, they have the potential and only a select few can see it. That is what will make them winning this season even more powerful for those that have been with them for so many years. The history of Cincinnati Reds alone is something to cheer for but I think 2012 is going to be a record-breaking season and a time for Reds fans to get ready for a whole new breed of Big Red Machine / Nasty Boys.
You can go to any other baseball blog out there and get the realistic views and comments of who is “expected” to win, or you can shy away from that thinking and look deep into the roster of the Reds and see what I see, the right combination of players that will win another championship for one of the most exciting ball clubs to ever be in the National League, the Cincinnati Reds!
On a side note, make sure you add @JayABruce on Twitter.
In the past few days there have been more moves by Cincinnati Reds and it is hard to believe Walt Jocketty when he says he is finally done. It feels like the man has done more transactions this offseason then he has in the last five seasons combined. First, they made a trade with Philadelphia Phillies for 2B/SS Wilson Valdez for LHP Jeremy Horst. They signed Nick Masset to a two-year contract to avoid arbitration and they signed LHP Jeff Francis to a minor league deal to add more pitching depth. They also signed RHP Ryne Reynoso, INF Joel Guzman and before that, they signed utility player Willie Harris and are still waiting for the official signing of OF Ryan Ludwick. Let us not forget signing Ryan Madson and trading for Sean Marshall and Mat Latos and other minor league and spring training invites to players that will help bring competition to some of the younger guys. [Source – MLB.com]
This offseason has to go down as the most exciting one I have ever experienced as a Reds fan. (Close to 20 years) No matter the outcome right now I have to say Walt Jocketty has really done a great job on finding players that will help the team win in 2012. With a tight budget he had to be very clever in who he traded for and signed but after all the smoke clears I think he got the best players for what he had available. With upgrades in the starting rotation, bullpen and as closer along with a solid bench upgrade the team is looking great for spring training which is just around the corner.
Here is the 40-Man Roster for the Cincinnati Reds as of today. This of course is not counting Ryan Ludwick who is still not official yet.
Cincinnati Reds 40-Man Roster # Pitchers B/T Ht Wt DOB 33 Jose Arredondo R-R 6'0" 175 Mar 12, 1984 61 Bronson Arroyo R-R 6'4" 195 Feb 24, 1977 34 Homer Bailey R-R 6'3" 200 May 3, 1986 Andrew Brackman R-R 6'10" 230 Dec 4, 1985 45 Bill Bray L-L 6'3" 225 Jun 5, 1983 54 Aroldis Chapman L-L 6'4" 195 Feb 28, 1988 47 Johnny Cueto R-R 5'10" 220 Feb 15, 1986 46 Carlos Fisher R-R 6'4" 225 Feb 22, 1983 Josh Judy R-R 6'4" 200 Feb 9, 1986 Mat Latos R-R 6'6" 225 Dec 9, 1987 44 Mike Leake R-R 6'1" 185 Nov 12, 1987 63 Sam LeCure R-R 6'1" 205 May 4, 1984 Kyle Lotzkar L-R 6'4" 200 Oct 24, 1989 Ryan Madson L-R 6'6" 200 Aug 28, 1980 Sean Marshall L-L 6'7" 220 Aug 30, 1982 40 Nick Masset R-R 6'4" 240 May 17, 1982 66 Logan Ondrusek R-R 6'8" 230 Feb 13, 1985 62 Jordan Smith R-R 6'4" 220 Feb 4, 1986 Pedro Villarreal R-R 6'1" 215 Dec 9, 1987 # Catchers B/T Ht Wt DOB 29 Ryan Hanigan R-R 6'0" 200 Aug 16, 1980 39 Devin Mesoraco R-R 6'1" 220 Jun 19, 1988 # Infielders B/T Ht Wt DOB 43 Miguel Cairo R-R 6'1" 220 May 4, 1974 2 Zack Cozart R-R 6'0" 195 Aug 12, 1985 25 Juan Francisco L-R 6'2" 240 Jun 24, 1987 21 Todd Frazier R-R 6'3" 220 Feb 12, 1986 Didi Gregorius L-R 6'1" 175 Feb 18, 1990 7 Paul Janish R-R 6'2" 200 Oct 12, 1982 Donald Lutz L-R 6'3" 235 Feb 6, 1989 71 Kristopher Negron R-R 6'0" 180 Feb 1, 1986 4 Brandon Phillips R-R 6'0" 205 Jun 28, 1981 Henry Rodriguez S-R 5'10" 150 Feb 9, 1990 27 Scott Rolen R-R 6'4" 245 Apr 4, 1975 Neftali Soto R-R 6'2" 180 Feb 28, 1989 3 Chris Valaika R-R 6'0" 210 Aug 14, 1985 19 Joey Votto L-R 6'3" 220 Sep 10, 1983 # Outfielders B/T Ht Wt DOB 32 Jay Bruce L-L 6'3" 225 Apr 3, 1987 28 Chris Heisey R-R 6'0" 225 Dec 14, 1984 Denis Phipps R-R 6'3" 210 Jul 22, 1985 6 Drew Stubbs R-R 6'4" 200 Oct 4, 1984
Cincinnati Reds Coaching Staff Manager & Coaches # Name Position 12 Dusty Baker Manager 49 Brook Jacoby Batting Coach 38 Bryan Price Pitching Coach Mack Jenkins Assistant Pitching Coach 22 Billy Hatcher First Base Coach 41 Mark Berry Third Base Coach 35 Chris Speier Bench Coach 59 Juan Lopez Bullpen Coach 72 Mike Stefanski Bullpen Catcher Staff Name Position Terry Reynolds Director of Pro Scouting J Harrison Scout Marty Maier Scout Jeff Morris Scout John Morris Scout Shawn Pender Scout Steve Roadcap Scout Mike Squires Scout Jeff Taylor Scout Dominic Viola Scout Jerry Walker Scout Joe Morgan Baseball Operations Assistant Paul Lessard Athletic Trainer Mark Riggins Minor League Pitching Coordinator Rick Sweet Coordinator, Catching
Cincinnati Reds Broadcasters Name Marty Brennaman Thom Brennaman Chris Welsh Jeff Brantley Jim Kelch George Grande Sean Casey Kent Mercker
Today, I wanted to discuss Cincinnati Reds SIERA (Skill-Interactive ERA) numbers for 2011, using the pitchers on the roster now. “The league-average for starting pitchers is a 3.81 SIERA; the league-average for relievers is a 3.40 SIERA.” Zack Greinke had a 2.66 SIERA followed by Cliff Lee 2.72 SIERA and Roy Halladay 2.79 SIERA. Jonathan Papelbon had a 1.58 SIERA in 2011. I got all of the SIERA stats from my updated Reds pitchers list on fangraphs.com.
Cincinnati Reds pitchers SIERA 2011
Name SIERA Cueto 3.93 Latos 3.48 Arroyo 4.57 Bailey 3.78 Leake 3.76 Chapman 3.65 Madson 2.63 Marshall 2.20 Masset 3.58 Ondrusek 4.27 Bray 3.45 LeCure 3.01 Arredondo 4.12 Fisher 4.32 Judy 4.62 Brackman 8.69
Of course when trying to determine how good a pitcher really is, it is best to use many different stats in order to better judge each pitcher. SIERA is just one way to judge a pitcher and how well he has done. For more information about SIERA please go and read all the great posts on fangraphs.com
Ryan Madson has signed a 1 year deal with Cincinnati Reds and I have to be the first to admit I really did not see this coming. I thought Madson would be way out of the Reds price range but once again I was very wrong. Thank you, Walt Jocketty!
— Update: Mark Sheldon just posted on Mark My Word: “More Madson” with questions asking what fans think about the rotation and bullpen now. He also asks who people think the National League Central team is now and my answer has always been the same, The Reds!!!
I wanted to do a comparison of Francisco Cordero and Ryan Madson in 2011 just to help see what the Reds are getting for one year. I posted other information about Madson in “Ryan Madson and Cincinnati Reds” and “Reds, Madson in agreement”
I want to also say that at first (when I thought Madson was way to expensive for the Reds) I only did a little research on him and thought that he might not be the right fit in Great American Ball Park. After looking more into his stats I see that he is one heck of a relief pitcher in any ball park so he should do pretty good. I saw a tweet last night where people were calling Ryan Madson, Sean Marshall and Nick Masset of the Reds “The Ma-sty Boys” and I just had to put it in here. [Tweet]
At-bat results for Ryan Madson in 2011: 25.57% strikeout, 18.32% single, 17.94% groundout, 11.45% flyout, 3.05% walk and 0.76% home run.
At-bat results for Francisco Cordero in 2011: 25.18% groundout, 16.06% flyout, 15.33% strikeout, 11.68% single, 8.03% walk and 2.19% home run.
Out Of Options: “The following players on the Reds’ 40-man roster do not have options: RHP Jose Arredondo, RHP Bronson Arroyo, RHP Homer Bailey, LHP Bill Bray, IF Miguel Cairo, RHP Carlos Fisher, IF Juan Francisco, RHP Nick Masset and 2B Brandon Phillips.” [Source]
That makes 9 players out of 38 on the 40-man roster. Jose Arredondo, Homer Bailey, Carlos Fisher and Juan Francisco are the ones that concern me the most. Will they be able to step up their game and play to their potential the whole season? And stay healthy at the same time. I am looking forward to watching Juan Francisco play in 2012 and I really hope these three pitchers can stay off the DL and play great for the Reds.
Another question that comes to mind right now is; will these three pitchers be included in another trade before spring training? The Reds are still looking for an outfielder and a SS/INF and most people think they will look at free agents for that help. I still think Walt Jocketty will make another trade and these three pitchers might be a part of it. There have been some rumors about Homer Bailey being traded already but only by fans, I am not sure if reporters have asked Walt Jocketty if he would trade away these three pitchers this offseason.
There are rumors going around that Chicago Cubs are trading Carlos Zambrano to Miami Marlins. I thought I would add my two cents. I am glad he is leaving the National League Central, this is another move not done by the Reds that really helps the team.
Carlos Zambrano has a 17-11 record and a 3.28 career ERA vs. the Reds and a 9-3, 3.31 ERA at Great American Ball Park.
Carlos Zambrano career vs. Cincinnati Reds
AB H SO BA OBP SLG OPS Brandon Phillips 47 11 11 .234 .345 .426 .771 Scott Rolen 48 9 8 .188 .235 .396 .631 Edgar Renteria 39 14 9 .359 .468 .436 .904 Joey Votto 26 9 2 .346 .433 .500 .933 Jay Bruce 18 4 2 .222 .364 .389 .753 Ramon Hernandez 15 3 2 .200 .200 .200 .400 Miguel Cairo 12 3 5 .250 .357 .333 .690 Drew Stubbs 11 3 5 .273 .333 .273 .606 Dontrelle Willis 7 1 1 .143 .143 .143 .286 Ryan Hanigan 6 2 1 .333 .333 .500 .833 Johnny Cueto 3 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Yonder Alonso 2 2 0 1.000 1.000 2.500 3.500 Juan Francisco 3 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000 Bronson Arroyo 2 1 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Nick Masset 1 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Homer Bailey 1 1 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Todd Frazier 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 Total 242 63 51 .260 .344 .401 .745
I wanted to try out a podcast to start off 2012. I am not sure if I will do a lot of podcasts but if feedback is good it might become a welcome addition to the blog. This first episode is about what I have posted on 2r2d blog. Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Josh Judy are talked about in this episode.
I would like to wish you all a very Happy New Year! I hope 2012 brings everyone nothing but great health and happiness and of course another World Series Championship to the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds roster as of the end of 2011:
Jose Arredondo, Bronson Arroyo, Homer Bailey, Bill Bray, Aroldis Chapman, Johnny Cueto, Carlos Fisher, Josh Judy, Mat Latos, Mike Leake, Sam LeCure, Kyle Lotzkar, Sean Marshall, Nick Masset, Logan Ondrusek, Jordan Smith, Pedro Villarreal, Ryan Hanigan, Devin Mesoraco, Miguel Cairo, Zack Cozart, Juan Francisco, Todd Frazier, Didi Gregorius, Paul Janish, Donald Lutz, Kristopher Negron, Brandon Phillips, Henry Rodriguez, Scott Rolen, Neftali Soto, Chris Valaika, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, Chris Heisey, Denis Phipps, Drew Stubbs.
Scott Carroll, Nick Christiani, Tom Cochran, Jerry Gil, Brandon Hynick, Joseph Krebs, Chad Reineke, Clayton Tanner, Daryl Thompson, Travis Webb, Corky Miller, James Skelton, Jose Castro, Mike Costanzo, Daniel Dorn, Quintin Berry, David Cook, Michael Griffin, Felix Perez.
Tim Crabbe, Matt Fairel, Scott Gaffney, Tyree Hayes, Daniel Jensen, Christopher Manno, Ruben Medina, Daniel Renken, Doug Salinas, Mark Serrano, Clayton Shunick, J.C. Sulbaran, Mace Thurman, Jamie Walczak, Chase Ware, Julio Morillo, Jordan Wideman, Phillip Bauer, Alex Buchholz, Jorge Jimenez, Devin Lohman, Carlos Mendez, Chris Richburg, Stephen Hunt, Andrew Means, Welinton Ramirez, Dayne Read.
Mitch Clarke, Daniel Corcino, Pat Doyle, Stalin Gerson, Drew Hayes, Blaine Howell, Jacob Johnson, Luca Panerati, Brian Pearl, Tanner Robles, Chad Rogers, Josh Smith, Daniel Wolford, Tucker Barnhart, Chris Berset, Dominic D’Anna, Brandon Dailey, Billy Hamilton, Frank Pfister, David Vidal, Theo Bowe, Juan Duran, Josh Garton, Jaren Matthews, Brennan May, Kurtis Muller, Drew Poulk, Yorman Rodriguez, Jefry Sierra.
James Allen, Jason Braun, Tony Cingrani, Carlos Contreras, Nick Fleece, Aguido Gonzalez, Carlos Gonzalez, Cole Green, Ismael Guillon, Christopher Joyce, Ryan Kemp, Matt Leonard, Porfirio Martinez, Kyle McMyne, Erik Miller, James Moran, Wes Mugarian, El’Hajj Muhammad, Brooks Pinckard, Radhames Quezada, Patrick Quinn, Yovan Gonzalez, Danny Vicioso, Junior Arias, Sean Buckley, Sammy Diaz, Robert Maddox, Nick O’Shea, Juan Perez, Cristobal Rodriguez, Ryan Wright, Spencer Dickinson, Jon Matthews, Steven Selsky, Juan Silva, Bryson Smith, Kyle Waldrop,
(These rosters were taken off of the Reds affiliates web page and might be wrong now. Some of the links might not go to the right players. Please let me know if you find any that do not go to the right players and I will fix it.)
I thought it would be nice to compare Carlos Beltran vs. Cincinnati Reds pitching. Johnny Cueto and Mat Latos might have the most problems against him in 2012 if he stays healthy. Even with seeing some of these numbers I am still happy it is him instead of Albert Pujols.
Carlos Beltran vs. Cincinnati Reds pitching.
AB H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Bronson Arroyo 18 5 1 4 2 5 .278 .350 .667 1.017 Francisco Cordero 12 3 1 4 1 4 .250 .308 .500 .808 Johnny Cueto 11 4 1 4 1 2 .364 .417 .727 1.144 Mike Leake 6 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 Bill Bray 4 1 0 2 0 2 .250 .200 .500 .700 Jose Arredondo 2 1 0 1 1 1 .500 .667 .500 1.167 Jared Burton 3 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 Nick Masset 1 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500 Aroldis Chapman 1 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Sam LeCure 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.000 Total 97 27 4 22 11 22 .278 .355 .474 .829
Carlos Beltran vs. Mat Latos
AB H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Mat Latos 2 2 2 2 1 0 1.000 1.000 4.000 5.000
Carlos Beltran vs. Sean Marshall
AB H HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Sean Marshall 9 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000