When I started 2r2d I tried to read as much as I could before I got started to try to get an idea of how fans felt about Cincinnati Reds. I have checked many blogs and I know there are still a lot out there that I have not seen yet, but I am very happy with the ones I have found. It is always good to find people who love your baseball team just as much as you do and I really think I have found a lot lately. All of the blogs I have found so far for the Reds are on the sidebar. If you know of any others worth checking out please leave a comment.
I have to be honest, I have tried to get involved in forums and message boards before and it has never been one of my most liked ways of finding out what the fans like. There are some guys that I try to follow what they say but with one good person there are ten or twenty bad ones so it is hard to keep up. I thought I would add some links to forums / message boards and once again, if you know of any others please comment and I will add them.
From reading blogs and glancing at some message boards it is starting to look like fans want even more pitching instead of position players. Even after the Reds getting Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Ryan Madson, fans would rather see Walt Jocketty spend more money (and/or prospects) on pitching instead of a LF and SS/INF. A lot of the fans think Chris Heisey and Zack Cozart will do great at LF and SS and there is no need for anyone but maybe some low-budget fillers to help give them rest when needed.
There are many fans out there that really don’t think the starting rotation is where it should be and are hoping for another top of the rotation starter. I can honestly tell you right now, I really don’t think any more pitchers will be added this offseason. First, the Reds don’t have much more to trade for a top of the rotation starter and I really don’t think they have enough money for any of the starting pitchers that are free agents right now. Plus, I think Walt and the rest of the front office thinks their rotation is good enough with who they have. I won’t lie, one more good starter would always be nice to have but I am also hoping Aroldis Chapman proves everyone wrong and becomes a deadly starter in 2012. As for the bullpen, I think they are done there too and I seriously think there might be a few relief pitchers traded for a position player before the offseason is over. From what I have read, pitching is pretty much ready for spring training. Now the front office will work on getting position players and I expect Walt to get that done within a week or two. Of course, you never know when it comes to this time of year, something big might come up and another big move might happen but I think it would have to really impress Walt Jocketty a lot in order for him to say yes right now.
Today, I wanted to discuss Cincinnati Reds SIERA (Skill-Interactive ERA) numbers for 2011, using the pitchers on the roster now. “The league-average for starting pitchers is a 3.81 SIERA; the league-average for relievers is a 3.40 SIERA.” Zack Greinke had a 2.66 SIERA followed by Cliff Lee 2.72 SIERA and Roy Halladay 2.79 SIERA. Jonathan Papelbon had a 1.58 SIERA in 2011. I got all of the SIERA stats from my updated Reds pitchers list on fangraphs.com.
Cincinnati Reds pitchers SIERA 2011
Name SIERA Cueto 3.93 Latos 3.48 Arroyo 4.57 Bailey 3.78 Leake 3.76 Chapman 3.65 Madson 2.63 Marshall 2.20 Masset 3.58 Ondrusek 4.27 Bray 3.45 LeCure 3.01 Arredondo 4.12 Fisher 4.32 Judy 4.62 Brackman 8.69
Of course when trying to determine how good a pitcher really is, it is best to use many different stats in order to better judge each pitcher. SIERA is just one way to judge a pitcher and how well he has done. For more information about SIERA please go and read all the great posts on fangraphs.com
With everyone waiting for the official word from Cincinnati Reds General Manager Walt Jocketty about the signing of Ryan Madson a lot of Reds fans have started to talk about what the next move might be for the team that has done quite a lot already this offseason. Trading for Mat Latos and Sean Marshall and just now signing Ryan Madson to a one year deal.
Some people on twitter want Kosuke Fukudome, while others want Ryan Ludwick. Ryan Theriot is another person rumored to be on the Reds radar. I am starting to think the Ryan’s will win it unless Walt makes another trade to shock the Reds Nation.
Ryan Madson has signed a 1 year deal with Cincinnati Reds and I have to be the first to admit I really did not see this coming. I thought Madson would be way out of the Reds price range but once again I was very wrong. Thank you, Walt Jocketty!
— Update: Mark Sheldon just posted on Mark My Word: “More Madson” with questions asking what fans think about the rotation and bullpen now. He also asks who people think the National League Central team is now and my answer has always been the same, The Reds!!!
I wanted to do a comparison of Francisco Cordero and Ryan Madson in 2011 just to help see what the Reds are getting for one year. I posted other information about Madson in “Ryan Madson and Cincinnati Reds” and “Reds, Madson in agreement”
I want to also say that at first (when I thought Madson was way to expensive for the Reds) I only did a little research on him and thought that he might not be the right fit in Great American Ball Park. After looking more into his stats I see that he is one heck of a relief pitcher in any ball park so he should do pretty good. I saw a tweet last night where people were calling Ryan Madson, Sean Marshall and Nick Masset of the Reds “The Ma-sty Boys” and I just had to put it in here. [Tweet]
At-bat results for Ryan Madson in 2011: 25.57% strikeout, 18.32% single, 17.94% groundout, 11.45% flyout, 3.05% walk and 0.76% home run.
At-bat results for Francisco Cordero in 2011: 25.18% groundout, 16.06% flyout, 15.33% strikeout, 11.68% single, 8.03% walk and 2.19% home run.
Kerry Wood might be leaving Chicago Cubs to sign with Philadelphia Phillies. If this happens it will go down as another move this offseason that will help the Cincinnati Reds in 2012 which they did not have to make. [Source]
Kerry Wood has a career 14-6 record against the Reds with a 2.85 ERA. With 201 strike outs while only giving up 59 walks in 161.1 IP and 47 games. He has a 4-3 record at Great American Ball Park and a 4.05 ERA with 66 strike outs and 17 walks along with only allowing 7 home runs in 53.1 innings pitched. (17 games)
If Kerry Wood does leave the Cubs this will be another move that has pushed the Reds closer to first place in the National League Central without them making any other moves. The Reds did get Sean Marshall and Mat Latos in trades earlier this offseason and are waiting to find out if they will re-sign closer Francisco Cordero but other than that they have not had to really do much more.
This has been one very interesting offseason for Reds fans. First we saw Albert Pujols along with manager Tony LaRussa leave St. Louis Cardinals. Prince Fielder is not expected to return to Milwaukee Brewers and Ryan Braun is expected to get a 50 game suspension due to testing positive for PEDs. The Chicago Cubs are cleaning house and are dealing away most of their high salary players like Carlos Zambrano and there are still rumors that Matt Garza might be next. Houston Astros are in a rebuilding year and are getting ready to move to the American League. Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are the only teams in National League Central that have not been losing lots of their key players this offseason.
As we wait for word on if closer Francisco Cordero will return to Cincinnati Reds, I thought I would share some information about what he did in 2011 for the Reds. A lot of people say that he is starting to decline but I think he still has a few more good years left in the tank. Everyone thinks the Reds are the top guys right now and that he should sign the one year deal (not sure if there is an option on this contract offer) that would bring him back. I think the Sean Marshall and Mat Latos trades might have a big impact on if he re-signs with the Reds.
Out of his 37 saves in 2011 he only gave up one home run, which was against Colorado Rockies on Thursday, August 11, 2011, at Great American Ball Park. Seth Smith hit it off of Cordero in the 9th inning with 0 on and 0 out to deep RF.
Another thing about his 37 saves that caught my interest was that he only came into one game where he had inherited runners. (2) That game was on Sunday, May 15, 2011, at Great American Ball Park against St. Louis Cardinals. The two inherited runners both came in to score that game.
Francisco Cordero 2011
Francisco Cordero threw his 4-seam fastball 394 times in 2011. (36.5%) The velocity got up to 93 MPH and 61.4% were strikes. 38.8% were swung on (5.1% whiff) 18% foul and 15.7% in play.
He also threw his 86.1 MPH slider just as much. (382 times, 35.4%) 62.3% were strikes, 47.1% swung on with 14.7% whiffs. 11.5% fouled off while 20.9% were in play.
239 times Cordero threw his 86.4 MPH change-up. (22.2%) 58.6% were strikes with 46.4% were swung on. (13.4% whiff) 10.9% foul and 22.2% in play.
He threw his curveball 53 times (4.9%) which was clocked at 78.7 MPH. 73.6% strike, 9.4% whiff, 15.1% foul and 18.9% in play.
He also threw a 93.1 MPH fastball which saw the strike zone 40% of the time with 20.% swung on and 20% in play.
Cordero’s at-bat results were great in 2011. 25.18% groundout, 16.06% flyout, 15.33% strikeout, 11.68% single, 8.03% walk and 2.19% home run.
You can find all of this information at Pitch f/x. Where you can even check out the break down for every game he pitched in 2011.
Who hit off of Francisco Cordero in 2011
AB H BA OBP SLG OPS Neil Walker 2 2 1.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 Nyjer Morgan 3 2 .667 .667 1.333 2.000 Mark Kotsay 4 2 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Yuniesky Betancourt 5 2 .400 .400 .400 .800 Casey McGehee 2 2 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 James Loney 4 1 .250 .250 .250 .500 Jeff Baker 2 1 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 Carlos Pena 4 1 .250 .250 1.000 1.250 Willie Harris 2 1 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 Jon Jay 2 1 .500 .500 2.000 2.500 Blake DeWitt 4 1 .250 .250 .250 .500 Carlos Gomez 3 1 .333 .333 .333 .667 Ross Gload 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Wilson Valdez 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Matthew Joyce 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Gerardo Parra 2 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Shelley Duncan 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Josh Wilson 1 1 1.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 Eliezer Alfonzo 1 1 1.000 1.000 2.000 3.000 Jordan Schafer 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 David Freese 2 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Darwin Barney 3 1 .333 .333 .333 .667 Tony Campana 2 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Ryan Doumit 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Alfonso Soriano 3 1 .333 .333 .667 1.000 Orlando Hudson 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Pablo Sandoval 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Alex Gonzalez 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Matt Holliday 4 1 .250 .250 1.000 1.250 Nick Punto 2 1 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 Ian Desmond 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Danny Espinosa 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Logan Schafer 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Kosuke Fukudome 2 1 .500 .667 .500 1.167 Stephen Drew 2 1 .500 .500 2.000 2.500 Aubrey Huff 2 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Yadier Molina 4 1 .250 .250 .250 .500 Osvaldo Martinez 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Clint Barmes 2 1 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 Orlando Cabrera 1 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000 Greg Dobbs 2 1 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 Seth Smith 1 1 1.000 1.000 4.000 5.000 Ryan Howard 1 1 1.000 1.000 4.000 5.000 Gaby Sanchez 2 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000
I wanted to try out a podcast to start off 2012. I am not sure if I will do a lot of podcasts but if feedback is good it might become a welcome addition to the blog. This first episode is about what I have posted on 2r2d blog. Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Josh Judy are talked about in this episode.
I would like to wish you all a very Happy New Year! I hope 2012 brings everyone nothing but great health and happiness and of course another World Series Championship to the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds roster as of the end of 2011:
Jose Arredondo, Bronson Arroyo, Homer Bailey, Bill Bray, Aroldis Chapman, Johnny Cueto, Carlos Fisher, Josh Judy, Mat Latos, Mike Leake, Sam LeCure, Kyle Lotzkar, Sean Marshall, Nick Masset, Logan Ondrusek, Jordan Smith, Pedro Villarreal, Ryan Hanigan, Devin Mesoraco, Miguel Cairo, Zack Cozart, Juan Francisco, Todd Frazier, Didi Gregorius, Paul Janish, Donald Lutz, Kristopher Negron, Brandon Phillips, Henry Rodriguez, Scott Rolen, Neftali Soto, Chris Valaika, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, Chris Heisey, Denis Phipps, Drew Stubbs.
Scott Carroll, Nick Christiani, Tom Cochran, Jerry Gil, Brandon Hynick, Joseph Krebs, Chad Reineke, Clayton Tanner, Daryl Thompson, Travis Webb, Corky Miller, James Skelton, Jose Castro, Mike Costanzo, Daniel Dorn, Quintin Berry, David Cook, Michael Griffin, Felix Perez.
Tim Crabbe, Matt Fairel, Scott Gaffney, Tyree Hayes, Daniel Jensen, Christopher Manno, Ruben Medina, Daniel Renken, Doug Salinas, Mark Serrano, Clayton Shunick, J.C. Sulbaran, Mace Thurman, Jamie Walczak, Chase Ware, Julio Morillo, Jordan Wideman, Phillip Bauer, Alex Buchholz, Jorge Jimenez, Devin Lohman, Carlos Mendez, Chris Richburg, Stephen Hunt, Andrew Means, Welinton Ramirez, Dayne Read.
Mitch Clarke, Daniel Corcino, Pat Doyle, Stalin Gerson, Drew Hayes, Blaine Howell, Jacob Johnson, Luca Panerati, Brian Pearl, Tanner Robles, Chad Rogers, Josh Smith, Daniel Wolford, Tucker Barnhart, Chris Berset, Dominic D’Anna, Brandon Dailey, Billy Hamilton, Frank Pfister, David Vidal, Theo Bowe, Juan Duran, Josh Garton, Jaren Matthews, Brennan May, Kurtis Muller, Drew Poulk, Yorman Rodriguez, Jefry Sierra.
James Allen, Jason Braun, Tony Cingrani, Carlos Contreras, Nick Fleece, Aguido Gonzalez, Carlos Gonzalez, Cole Green, Ismael Guillon, Christopher Joyce, Ryan Kemp, Matt Leonard, Porfirio Martinez, Kyle McMyne, Erik Miller, James Moran, Wes Mugarian, El’Hajj Muhammad, Brooks Pinckard, Radhames Quezada, Patrick Quinn, Yovan Gonzalez, Danny Vicioso, Junior Arias, Sean Buckley, Sammy Diaz, Robert Maddox, Nick O’Shea, Juan Perez, Cristobal Rodriguez, Ryan Wright, Spencer Dickinson, Jon Matthews, Steven Selsky, Juan Silva, Bryson Smith, Kyle Waldrop,
(These rosters were taken off of the Reds affiliates web page and might be wrong now. Some of the links might not go to the right players. Please let me know if you find any that do not go to the right players and I will fix it.)
I was thinking about doing a Best of 2011 post but then saw that everyone beat me to it. Instead of looking at the past I think it is best to forget about 2011 and think about what the Reds will do in 2012.
So instead of looking back and listening to “Objects in the Rear View Mirror May Appear Closer than They Are” we will turn up “The Future’s So Bright, I Gotta Wear Shades” and get ready for one heck of a 2012 season.
Joey Votto should have another great season both at the plate and with the glove. Brandon Phillips will play the best he has ever played in order to prove he is worth an extension and Zack Cozart will show everyone he deserves to be on the roster. Scott Rolen will be injury free and helping the team become champions. Chris Heisey, Todd Frazier, Miguel Cairo, Paul Janish and Juan Francisco will get in some good playing time in 2012. Drew Stubbs will hit the ball on the ground and leg out some base hits then steal his way into scoring position. Jay Bruce will keep hitting well and getting a lot more RBIs. Ryan Hanigan will go on to become a great on base percentage threat in 2012 along with sharing some time with Devin Mesoraco who might have a rough start but should go on to become a great catcher for many years to come.
As for pitching I am very excited to see how well the starting rotation will take shape after spring training. Will Mat Latos become the next pitcher to throw a no-hitter in a Reds jersey? Will Johnny Cueto lock in the #1 spot after spring training and show everyone he is ready for the job? Can Bronson Arroyo bounce back and become the solid inning eating pitcher we all remember so well? Homer Bailey, Aroldis Chapman and Sam LeCure will have fun fighting for the last rotation spot during spring training. Mike Leake will become even more deadly in 2012 proving his is capable of becoming a solid top of the rotation starter also.
There are still a lot of question marks when it comes to the Reds roster as we head closer and closer to spring training but Walt Jocketty is getting the job done and I am very happy with the progress so far. Sean Marshall and Mat Latos are great players to have on the team and should help out a lot in 2012. I seriously did not ever expect Walt to get deals like this done this offseason. It was a gutsy call and I am looking forward to watching it pay off.
Here is an interview with Mat Latos on Xtra Sports 1360 AM. He goes on to discuss his reaction to the trade and he like Sean Marshall, also mentioned winning a World Series ring with his new team, Cincinnati Reds.